First baseman is ticketed for a second consecutive trip through free agency, as he told reporters when the regular season came to a close that he intends to of the final year of his contract and return to the open market. He wont officially become a free agent until five days after the World Series concludes, but whispers about Alonsos asking price as he returns to the market have already begun to percolate. According to , Alonso is expected to seek at least a seven-year deal as he returns to free agency. Its natural for players to set a high bar for contract negotiations entering free agency, but it would be something of a surprise if Alonso was able to secure that sort of arrangement. A seven-year pact would cover the sluggers age-31 through -37 seasons, and thats the sort of rarefied air thats difficult for a defensively limited slugger to reach in free agency. Dodgers star is signed through age-37, but Freeman is an MVP winner and future Hall of Famer. Its hard to argue Alonso is in that same stratosphere, and few other first basemen have managed to get that sort of long-term security. s extension with the Cardinals back in 2019 was for just five years and $130MM, ending after his age-36 campaign, and s eight-year, $168MM contract extension with Atlanta is guaranteed only through his age-35 season. Both Goldschmidt and Olson were also Gold Glove winners for their work at first base when they signed those deals, while Alonso is viewed both by defensive metrics and many scouts as one of the games weaker first basemen defensively. While Puma points to and as fellow Boras clients who managed to land contracts in a similar range to what Alonso is expected to seek, it also must be noted that Chapman actually signed a six-year extension with the Giants after he had already been in the fold on a short-term deal similar to the one Alonso will be opting out of. More importantly, Semien was a shortstop when he signed with the Rangers, and Chapman is a multi-time Gold Glove winner at third base. When it comes to financial expectations for infielders higher on the defensive spectrum, the bar is simply much different than it is for first basemen. Thats part of why players like Ricardo Pinto Jersey and who have found themselves taking similar short-term contracts with high average annual values in free agency to the one Alonso signed last winter have been able to secure a higher AAV than Alonso did on a two-year pact. The same principle extends to larger deals, and helps to explain why someone like managed to land a contract that will pay him through his age-40 campaign despite much le s robust offensive numbers than someone like Alonso can offer. Even if Alonso is unable to land the seven-year guarantee he appears to covet, it should still be expected that hell make out far better in free agency this time around than he did last season. After all, hes no longer encumbered by draft pick compensation after rejecting a Qualifying Offer from the Mets last winter. That means a team that signs him away from Queens wont have to forfeit draft capital in order to bring him into the fold, and that reality is likely to help his market a great deal. In addition, Alonso enjoyed a much stronger platform season this year than he did in 2024. This season, Alonso appeared in 162 games for the second consecutive season and slashed .277/.347/.524 with a wRC+ of 141, which tied his 2022 campaign for the second-best mark of his career. Alonso famously rejected a seven-year, $158MM extension offer from the Mets back in 2023. That deal would have covered the last year of his arbitration eligibility, for which he ultimately received $20.5MM. In other words, hell need to make more than $137.5MM between 2025 and 2030 in order to surpa s that benchmark. He made $30MM this year, meaning hell need to beat $107.5MM over the next five seasons if hes going to exceed the value of that extension he pa sed on. It seems very safe to bet on him to do just that at this point. Goldschmidts extension with the Cardinals, which covered his age-32 to -36 seasons, netted him $130MM over five years. While Goldschmidts 145 career wRC+ at the time of that deal was far stronger than Alonsos career 132 wRC+ entering this offseason, Alonso will be entering his age-31 season when his next contract begins and will benefit from more than half a decade of inflation since St. Louis inked that deal just before the 2019 season began. Considering that he wouldnt even need to match Goldschmidts guarantee in order to beat that 2023 extension offer, it seems safe to say that Alonso will come out ahead in free agency this year so long as he doesnt have to settle for another short-term agreement. Andrew Bellatti Jersey

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